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Liquidity crisis past Vs present

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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
ब्याजदर वृद्धिबारे के भन्छन् बैंकर र उद्योगी ?
http://www.bikashnews.com/2017/01/29/49843.html


-ब्याजदर बढेसँगै उद्योगहरुको कस्ट अफ फण्ड बढ्छ । यसले कस्ट अफ प्रडक्सन पनि बढाउँछ । अहिले मुद्धतिमा १२/१३ प्रतिशत ब्याज छ, ऋणमा १६ प्रतिशत पुग्ने अवस्था छ । लामो समय यसरी ब्याज दर बढ्यो भने कस्ट अफ प्रडक्सन बढ्छ र जसले उत्पादनको मुल्य वृद्धि गरेर उपभोक्ता मुल्य पनि बढाउँछ ।

-सारमा मुद्रास्फिति पनि बढ्छ

-नेपालका उद्योगको प्रतिष्पर्धी क्षमता घटिरहेको छ यसले झनै कमजोर बनाउँछ । मुल्य वृद्धि बढाउँछ

Dont tell me, I did not warn retard governor, idiot finance minister (never listen to worthless peace of crap called 'Bureaucrat' said genius Jim Rojer), pm/fm need to approach non ex bureaucrat expert for advice. our bureaucrats are criminals and dumb.

NRB CEO retard thapa seems to be worst than Governor.


-संसारमा नभएको सीडी रेसियो नेपालमा किन चाहियो ?
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
बैंकमा आखिर किन छैन पैसा ? सरकारले पैसा खर्च गर्न नसक्नु सबै भन्दा ठूलो समस्या - See more at: http://www.bikashnews.com/2017/01/29/49756.html#sthash.hTMK9HYA.dpuf
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
तरलता अभावले बैंकिङ आजकल: 'कौन सुनेगा किसको सुनाए इसिलिए चुप रेहेते हेँ
http://www.bizmandu.com/content/-23408.html
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
बैंकहरुलाई आजै ५२ अर्ब रुपैयाँ तरलता प्रवाह, गभर्नर नेपालले भने- अब तरलता अभावको समस्या घट्छ
http://www.bizmandu.com/content/-23508.html

Retard is talking nonsense. This retard govt does not even know, this 52 billion will go to where it came from?

Dr in front of the name of retard is very dangerous. This retard became governor by licking sujata koirala who is know to be one of the biggest crook in NEpal.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
राष्ट्र बैंक भन्छ, ‘ सीसीडीमा तत्काल कुनै पुनर्बिचार हुँदैन’
http://merolagani.com/NewsDetail.aspx?newsID=29728

- NRB increased CD ratio when liquidity was excess, not its liquidity crisis, why are not NRB decreasing CD ratio requirement.

O I remember, dumb Governor said when there was too much liquidity- "We increased CD ratio to solve high liquidity ratio". How dumb he was, CD ratio ratio was suppose to increase so there depositor's interest would not crash, that's all.

Increasing CD ratio would not solve high liquidity problem, only increasing loan would cure it. Keeping money Idle is bad idea for economy, job creation, revenue growth, wages growth etc, but NRB had to protect right of the depositor so they had to increase CD ratio.

Today, there is no high liquidity problem, today, we have liquidity crunch, so NRB needs to reduce CD ratio and make money make money- help idle money help nepal's economy by creating job, revenue, increase wages and profit of BFIs too.

In world, BFIs profit is 100s of Percent, In nepal, around 30 EPS.

OUr policy makers are retard.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
तरलता अभाव हटाउन सरकारलाई उद्योग परिसंघको ३ मन्त्र
समस्या विकराल, आर्थिक गतिशिलतामै संकुचनको खतरा आउने चेतावनी
Read more at http://www.bizshala.com/story/%E0%A4%A4%E0%A4%B0%E0%A4%B2%E0%A4%A4%E0%A4%BE-%E0%A4%85%E0%A4%AD%E0%A4%BE%E0%A4%B5#XThYORwSdVSIe5fB.99




----तरलता अभावको समस्याले समग्र अर्थतन्त्र नै धरमराउन थालेपछि नेपाल उद्योग परिसंघले बुधबार एक विज्ञप्ति जारी गरी तरलता अभावको समस्या निराकरणको उपाय तत्काल नखोजिए देशको आर्थिक गतिशीलतामै संकुचन आउने चेतावनी दिएको हो ।


----यसबाट अर्थव्यवस्थामा समग्र लगानी न्यून भई कुल ग्रार्हस्थ उत्पादन, रोजगारी सृजना, आय आर्जन, इफेक्टिभ डिमाण्ड र समग्र आर्थिक गतिशीलतामा संकुचन आउने जोखिम बढेकोमा उसले गहिरो चिन्ता व्यक्त गरेको छ ।

-----6) एशियाली विकास बंैकले गरेको अध्ययनअनुसार नेपालमा अनौपचारिक अर्थतन्त्रको आकार कुल जीडीपीको ४५ प्रतिशत पुगेको अनुमान छ । यससंगै स्याडो बैकिंग बढ्दै जाने, हुण्डीको कारोबार अस्तित्वमै रहने, अनौपचारिक आयात बढ्नेजस्ता प्रवृति विद्यमान छन् । यी प्रवृतिले पनि करिब रु. ४० अर्ब बैँकिङ्ग प्रणालीबाट बाहिरै रहेको अनुमान देखा पर्नु,
(I said nepal's gdp could be 50 billion, govt says around 25billiondollar, and adb says around 36billion)


---यसले अर्थव्यवस्थाको समग्र लगानी घट्ने, कुल गार्हस्थ उत्पादनमा ह्रास आउने, रोजगारीका अवसरहरु संकुचित हुने प्रवृति देखिन्छन् । तरलता अभावले ब्याजदर बढेर औद्योगिक क्षेत्रको लागत बढ्ने, निर्यात प्रतिस्पर्धात्मक क्षमतामा ह्रास आउने तथा आयात प्रोत्साहित हुने चेन इफेक्ट देखापर्दछ । हाल मुलुकको निर्यात आयात अनुपात १ः१२ रहेको अवस्थामा तरलता अभावले व्यापार घाटालाई अझ बढाउने संभावना देखिन्छ । यस विषम परिस्थितिलाई हल गर्न सरकार र नेपाल राष्ट्र बंैकले समन्वयपूर्वक निम्नानुसारको नीतिगत पाइला चाल्नु आवश्यक देखिन्छ :


----1) बैंक तथा वित्तीय संस्थाले कायम गर्नु पर्ने ८०ः२० को पूँजी कर्जा निक्षेप अनुपात(सीसीडी रेसियो) लाई तरलता अभावमा सुधार नभएसम्मका लागि ८५ः१५ बनाउने
2) आ. ब. २०७३/७४ को मौद्रिक नीतिले वाणिज्य बंैक, विकास बंैक र वित्त कम्पनीको लागि अनिवार्य नगद अनुपात(सीआरआर) क्रमशः ६, ५ एवं ४ प्रतिशत कायम गरेकोमा तरलता अभाव सुधार नभएसम्मका लागि त्यसलाई १ प्रतिशत बिन्दूूले घटाउने
3)सरकारले आफ्नो विकास प्रशासनको क्षमता वृद्धि गरी पूँजीगत खर्च गुणस्तरीय तबरबाट बढाउदैँ लैजाने ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
४१ सेयर दलाललाई बाहिरी जिल्लामा पठाउने नेप्सेको निर्णय


this could help increase some liquidity.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
तरलता 'संकट' को वास्तविकता
http://himalkhabar.com/news/1920

-I heard about 50 thousand are in payroll of India. Dalals in NRB, finance minister must have given responsibility by their Indian master to make car loan easy and cheap.
-Another order must me to make IC tradeable in Nepal and increase indian goods import in NEpal.

We need kranti.

-Bfis like everest bank and SCB pushing very cheap and easy car loan but they do not give share loan. Why, are they promoting Indian goods using money of Nepalese?????

There are many dalals in Nepal, hang them all.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
Nationalist Media/economic media should take interview of khaires, japanese, chinese in ADB, IMf, WB, etc regarding liquidity crisis and how to tale it.

Retards in Nepal give their view more importance than people like me. Sati ko sarap.

Jay Nepal.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
वाणिज्य बैंकले मुद्दाती खातामा १२ प्रतिशत व्याज दिए, निक्षेपको व्याजदर पाँच वर्षयताको उच्चतम विन्दुमा, विकास बैंक, वित्त कम्पनी, लघुवित्त तथा सहकारीलाई व्याज बढाउन दवाव - See more at: http://www.bikashnews.com/2017/01/24/49335.html#sthash.o9zG7SBd.dpuf


-Does retard Governor, Finance minister, PM, Bureaucrat heard about price war, trade war, cold war --- if you retards have not heard, let me tell you, its pretty bad, whole system collapses.

Remember USSR, Cold war/over spending in military, giving free goods/food to people(socialism) crashed USSR.
Current price war in Oil is almost destroyed Valenzuela, saudi, nigeria etc.

Same, is going on in interest rate in BFIs in Nepal. Result could be, crash in economy. Current rise in interest and lack of liquidity will soon increase NPL then economic crash. Line in BFIs to withdraw cash by depositors.

:evil:
Prachanda better sack NRB governor and high ranking officials. And Change retard finance minister, he is suppose to be a bharia not finance minister.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
बाणिज्य बैंकले नै १२ प्रतिशत ब्याजमा निक्षेप लिन थालेपछि राष्ट्र बैंकले तत्काल चाल्नुपर्ने कदम के हुनसक्छ ?http://merolagani.com/NewsDetail.aspx?newsID=29671


- its time to change Governor and NRB officials. They are the enemy of the BFIs and NEpal. They are too retard.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
बढेको ब्याज तिर्छुभन्दा पनि ब्यवसायीले बैंकबाट ऋण पाउन छाडे, बैंकर भन्छन्- पैसा भएन ऋण दिने?
http://www.bizmandu.com/content/-23381.html


-'हामीले लिमिट हुँदा पनि ऋण पाउन छाडेका छौं' नेपाल उद्योग वाणिज्य महासंघका अध्यक्ष पशुपति मुरारकाले बिजमाण्डूसँग भने, 'औद्योगिक गतिविधि नै रोक्नु पर्ने अवस्था आएको छ।'

-कुनै कुनै बैंकले पहिले नै स्वीकृत भएको कर्जाको ब्याजमा अहिले मोलमोलाइ गरेर ऋणका लागि निरुत्साहित गर्न थालेको अनुभव मुरारकाले सुनाए।

-'ऋण स्वीकृत हुँदा जति ब्याज भए पनि अहिले २/३ प्रतिशत बढेको छ। त्यसमा लिने भए मात्र दिन सकिन्छ भनेर बैंकका हाकिमहरुले भन्न थालेका छन्' उनले भने 'आवश्यकतै परेपछि जति ब्याज भने पनि लिनै पर्ने अवस्था छ। तैपनि मागेजति ऋण पाउने अवस्था छैन।'

-'नयाँ ऋण दिन निक्षेप बढ्नु पर्ने हुन्छ' श्रेष्ठले भने, 'अहिले निक्षेप वढेको छैन। सरकारले खर्च नगरेका कारण स्रोत सुकेको छ।' राष्ट्र बैकका अनुसार सरकारी खाता २३० अर्ब रुपैयाँ बचतमा छ। सरकारले बजारमा भएको पैसा राजश्वका रुपमा उठाएर राख्ने र विकास निर्णामा खर्च नगरेका कारण बैंकहरुलाई थप ऋण लगानी गर्न पैसा उपलब्ध नभएको हो।



We have kulangar for a Governor. Sujata koirala is one of the biggest corrupt in Nepal, Current governor became governor by licking sujata. So current governor could be taking money from evil foreign agency to destroy Nepal.

Or,

His intention could be, to bring down Nepse to 1200.


die Governor.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
HIGHER THE LOAN, LOWER WILL BE THE INFLATION.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
Is this the real liquidity crunch or are banks just short of investable fund? Credit crunch is imminent if the government doesn’t react fast
http://www.sharesansar.com/c/is-this-the-real-liquidity-crunch-or-are-banks-just-short-of-investable-fund.html



--------

Why was NRB Rs 30 billion Repo not fully subscribed?

Since the banks have adequate liquid fund to maintain CRR and SLR, most of the banks are not interested to take cash from NRB in the form of repo. Out of Rs.30 billion repo, only Rs 5.39 billon worth was subscribed by the commercial banks. This clearly suggests that there is no liquidity shortage, and more—this fund cannot be used by the banks to issue loan.





Why NRB’s plan to inject Rs 40 billion through buying back of NRB Bond failed?

On Magh 4 and 5, NRB issued a notice to buy back Rs 40 billion worth NRB Bond from the commercial banks to push extra liquidity in the banking system and NRB has clearly stated that this money can be used by the bank to issue loan.

Here, we need to understand that NRB is not injecting fresh Rs.40 billion in the banking system. Rather, they are buying back the bonds they had earlier issued. The investment on government securities or bonds is used by the banks to maintain mandatory liquidity.

This offer is lucrative for those banks whose CCD ratio is low and non-lucrative for those banks whose CCD ratio is close to 80%.





Case I

As per the FY 2073/74 Q1 report, Standard Chartered Bank Limited (SCB)’s CCD ratio is 72%. This means they still have 8% margin and they might have used this extra fund on buying NRB Bonds. In this case SCB can use the NRB offer and sell NRB bond and recover cash. SCB can use this cash to issue further loan since their CCD ratio is quite low.

Case II

As per the FY 2073/74 Q2 report, Citizens Bank International Bank Limited (CZBIL) CCD ratio is 79.40%. Here, CZBIL is in such a condition that they are not in a position to issue further loan without having new deposits. Here, they have just 0.6% margin left and having cash by selling NRB bonds also won’t be a solution because CCD ratio won’t allow any further lending.

Since the CCD ratio of most of the banks is already close to 80%, they cannot issue loan by recovering cash from selling liquid assets.

From the above




How to overcome this situation immediately and what really is the solution?

Only 6% of the fund set aside for capital expenditure by the government is used so far in five months of this FY 2073/74. This means that huge fund has been dumped in the government treasury. This fund must be utilized rapidly by the government in the development of the country. This will increase the economic activities and in turn, increase the deposits in the banking system.
Government must attract remittance through formal banking system. Informal remittance like “Hundi” must be immediately stopped.
Public money which is outside banking system must be attracted.
NRB may provide some flexibility in increasing CCD ratio, but this step can be risky for banks.



What will the consequences in the overall economy and banking sector be?

Overall credit expansion will be halted hampering economic growth. Banking sector growth will also be affected.
Interest rate will be increased. Due to this, business will suffer a lot.
Credit will be highly expensive. Due to this, share market investors will be discouraged to take loan and invest.
Inflationary pressure will be eased.
Unproductive loans will be discouraged.
----BFIs have increased a lot of loan, but still inflation is low, so i disagree
----Productive loans will be discouraged like hydro and industry cause of huge interest rate and lack of loan, may not discourage unproductive sector. Like people who take car loan, keep on taking car loan even if its interest is high cause its their sokh.



-------------------------
So, it’s high time for Nepal Rastra Bank, Ministry of Finance, and bankers to sit together and find a solution for the ongoing problem. Otherwise, the problem will spread so far that it won’t be easily corrected.

--There are many options for NRB, Govt- reducing CD ratio, depositing govt vault's cash.
--Last option, print money and lend to BFIs just like in US, Japan, EU, China etc.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
बैंकहरूमा तरलता अभाव होइन, लगानी योग्य पूँजीको अभावः बैंकर्स संघ - See more at: http://www.bikashnews.com/2017/01/19/48916.html#sthash.F6QddJ9a.dpuf

- NRB increased CD ratio during housing crisis lead liquidity crisis and later when there was too much liquidity- i guess to make sure, deposit interest rate does not crash.

- Today, we dont have NPL crisis, and cause of liquidity crisis- deposit rate is going out of our hand which has lead to huge increase in lending rate.

Cause of lack of liquidity, NPL could increase, and cause of high rate also NPL could increase, if liquidity crisis is not solved, NPL crisis could start and will lead to grave crisis like during housing crisis.

NRB better decrease CD ratio, since past problem has been solved to decrease interest rate.

perfect rate is:
deposit- 4-6%
lending- 7-10%


If NRB does not make a move to counter liquidity crisis, increase availability of loanable cash, bankers should approach prachanda and sher bahadur deuba.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
How many months current governor has as governor?

Nepal's economy cant afford him as governor any longer?

Nepal needs investment and cause of him, there is liquidity crisis.

In the past, NRB increased CD ratio cause of banking crisis lead by housing crisis- to make fund available when depositors want their money back.

and cause of high liquidity crisis- to prevent depositor's interest rate from crashing.


Today, we have liquidity crisis and lending interest rate skyrocketing threat (which is already there)- and to prevent it liquidity should he injected either by decreasing CD ratio requirement or injecting money (lend able money).
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
ऋणिलाई १५ प्रतिशत व्याजको तनाव, राष्ट्र बैंकलाई ५ प्रतिशत व्याजको पुर्नकर्जा नगएकोमा चिन्ता - See more at: http://www.bikashnews.com/2017/01/12/48287.html#sthash.lFkNdX0F.dpuf

Khate Governor lai bhanda bhandai .......

If present governor were governor during housing crisis, Nepal ta finished hune raicha. Lucky Us Governor Nepal "enemy" were not governor during housing crisis.

I did not like governor youraj, now, he turned out to be smart.
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 12
Dear Rising Sun!
Namaste!

Thank you very much for clear views on current status and future prospects as well!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
Last year or two, NRB governor has been attacking share market and BFI, why, could it be cause of his family crisis. Could his son in law turned out to be a rapist?
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 2521
In recent time, we face two liquidity crisis.

Current one is not sever, and I see it as a positive one, created cause of demand and dumb NRB.

Previous liquidity crisis was sever and happened cause of housing crisis and was danger to economy and company.


Previous crisis was cause of housing crisis so there was a big NPL, crash in profit and some banks were close to loss and some were almost went bankrupt.

This time, crisis is cause of demand, so profit will increase, but risk is if interest goes too high, will have negative impact to the economy, growth and will lead to increase in NPL and also there will be less liquidity available for borrowers.

Current crisis is also created by NRB's incompetency.
When there was excess liquidity, NRB increased CD ratio, now when we have liquidity crisis, they still have not decreased CD ratio requirement.

NRB is ran by incompetent and finance finance ministry & PM are too dumb to see it and fire NRB governor.

WHAT IS NRB TAKING TOO LONG TO DECREASE CD RAIO.


From investors point of view, current crisis is good till now, would increase profit of BFI, but if NRB does not decrease CD ratio, and interest increase too much, it would effect economy and investors could he hurt too.

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